Yesterday’s fall in price breached the 50% Fibo of the larger move from 1.6260 to 1.6843. Technically, this up trend is over. I am expecting more downside with price moving to 1.65 and possibly even reverse completely to 1.6250. Fundamentally, BoE Governor King pretty much sealed the deal telling markets that a weak GBP is good for exports and that quantitative easing is good for the economy. Sterling dropped like a stone from those comments. A market environment with technicals and fundamentals lined up gives the short pound trade lots of confidence. I’m short GBP.
But as usual, trade what you see not what I think.
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POSTED Wednesday November 11th
